BCG

Tập đoàn Bamboo Capital ·HOSE ·2024Q4

▲ Showing improvement

Operating efficiency is improving Net margin 19.32%, +14.78pp YoY
Price
Latest close
P/E
P/B
EPS 483
BVPS 24,305
ROE 2.1%
ROA 0.9%
Profit Margin 9.2%
Asset Turnover 0.10x
Equity Mult. 2.28x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2024Q4 basis, BCG has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. However, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the improvement signal needs more time to confirm.

TTM REVENUE
VND 4,372bn
+9.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
19.32%
+14.8ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 844bn
+363.9%YoY
Net financial result / PBT
32.3%
affects earnings quality
Metric Q4'24 Q3'24 Q2'24 Q1'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22
Revenue 1,133.7 1,137.9 1,114.8 985.4 1,178.1 1,017.9 1,114.4 701.3 1,221.1 1,176.7 881.0 1,252.9
Growth -0% +2% +13% -16% +16% -9% +59% -43% +4% +34% -30%
Net Income 96.5 331.2 318.6 98.2 3.4 9.1 160.7 8.8 -338.9 39.5 354.8 522.3
Net Margin 8.51% 29.11% 28.58% 9.96% 0.29% 0.90% 14.42% 1.25% -27.75% 3.36% 40.27% 41.69%

Drivers of BCG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by lower finance costs. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Finance costs ↓ 771.7bn
Associates income ↑ 98.3bn
Other profit ↑ 78.0bn
Selling expenses ↓ 34.9bn
Minority interests ↑ 327.8bn
Financial income ↓ 137.5bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher associates income. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Associates income ↑ 177.8bn
Minority interests ↓ 98.3bn
Financial income ↑ 40.0bn
Gross profit ↓ 87.1bn
Tax ↑ 33.6bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 20.3bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

ROE = Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

2023Q4 1.2% = 4.5% × 0.09 × 2.75
2024Q4 4.3% = 19.3% × 0.10 × 2.28

ROE rose from 1.2% to 4.3% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

Net margin: 19.3% +14.8pp Asset turnover: 0.10x +0.01x Leverage: 2.28x -0.47x

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin expanded to 19.32%, rising 14.8pp. Core operating signals are improving as SG&A / Revenue fell 1.0pp are enough to offset pressure from Gross margin fell 3.9pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 15.1pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 1.7pp).

Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 19.32% +14.8pp
Gross Margin 26.31% −3.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 14.82% −1.0pp
Non-core / Revenue 10.05% +16.9pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Watchpoints

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 44.0% of PBT and lifted net margin by 16.9pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for construction contractors should be read alongside project progress and receivables collection from developers — ROIC of 2.4% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC expanded to 2.44%, rising 1.9pp. That translates to 2.44 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 13.2pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; while invested capital rose by 2,073bn.

For construction contractors, ROIC moves with backlog and project acceptance timing — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside working-capital cycles.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

ROIC 2.44% +1.9pp
NOPAT Margin 17.05% +13.2pp
Capital Turnover 0.14x +0.00x
Average Invested Capital 30,546.1bn +2,072.5bn

Balance Sheet

ROIC for construction contractors swings with project progress and handover cycles — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is relatively light for construction contractors — liabilities at 1.17x equity, net debt at 0.51x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 3,242.1bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables. Part of that drag was offset by lower inventories and higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −3,903.3bn
Inventories decreased → higher CFO: +526.0bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +135.3bn

Working Capital Efficiency

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 20.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 22.2 days, DSO rose 32.4 days, and DPO fell 10.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower receivables collection — receivables quality needs monitoring.

For construction contractors, DSO/DIO/DPO/CCC can be distorted by project progress, work-in-progress receivables, and milestone acceptance timing — these metrics should be read alongside developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 282.9 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Receivables collection is slowing

DSO increased by +32.4 days, pointing to slower receivables turnover.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Receivables 130.7 days +32.4 days
Inventory 408.1 days −22.2 days
Payables 255.8 days −10.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 282.9 days +20.7 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 2,093.5bn due to capex of 287.3bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 0.51x and interest coverage only at 0.55x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 28.4% of total debt, cash equals 6.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 11,580.4bn.

Leverage for construction contractors fluctuates with project working capital, performance guarantees, and progress receivables — should be read alongside receivables quality and developer payment cycles.

Watchpoints

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 0.55x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 6.2%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.51x −0.14x
Interest Coverage 0.55x +0.45x
Cash / Debt 6.2% +0.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 28.4% +5.2pp
CFO / NI -4.48x −3.16x

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow reached -1,806.2bn in 2024, against investing cash flow of -250.9bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +2,057.1bn. Financing cash flow was positive +2,021.1bn.

CFO / net income was -4.48x.

After spending +287.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −2,093.5bn.

For construction contractors, FCF swings sharply with project progress and payment cycles — should be read alongside backlog and receivables quality.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q4 -> 2024Q4

CFO TTM 1,806.2bn −1,715.7bn
Cash Capex 287.3bn +154.8bn
FCF TTM −2,093.5bn −1,870.5bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 14.8 pp. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 0.55x.

Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.32% after expanding 14.8pp versus the same period last year.

Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 32.3% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at -4.48x.

Key risk: leverage and liquidity still require discipline, with interest coverage only at 0.55x.

Statement Data

Item 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
4,371.9 4,012.2 4,531.2 2,589.5 1,902.2
Cost of Goods Sold
3,221.8 2,812.5 3,211.6 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
1,150.0 1,199.7 1,319.6 938.5 490.5
Financial Expenses
1,618.1 2,396.2 2,401.8 -1,486.4 -550.4
Selling Expenses
157.5 192.3 215.8 -98.4 -110.4
General and Administrative Expenses
490.5 449.9 483.5 -383.7 -215.4
Operating Profit
882.3 213.3 766.7 1,214.2 381.3
Profit Before Tax
999.4 251.4 790.2 1,210.4 379.9
Net Income
844.8 171.1 540.7 972.8 279.9
Profit Attributable to Parent
404.0 59.0 349.5 606.3 214.9
Earnings per Share
459.00 111.00 715.00 1,945.00 -126.00

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