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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 2/2026

AVC

Thủy điện A Vương

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 272.6bn, fell 87.7bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower tax and higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
10.74x
P/B
2.28x
EPS
3,632
BVPS
17,084
ROE
22.1%
ROA
21.2%
Market price
39,000
16 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, AVC is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — margins have been compressing consistently over multiple periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Tax
  2. Financial income
  3. Gross profit
  4. Other
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue134.6128.9244.8204.9146.0130.7275.2243.9
LNST47.249.879.096.645.359.8131.5123.7
Net margin35.06%38.62%32.25%47.17%31.03%45.72%47.78%50.73%

Revenue

135bn

Net income

47bn

Net margin

35.06%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 10.4% year on year — not from a single spike: quarterly growth stepped up from −16% to −8%.

0 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
713bn
−10.4%
Latest quarter YoY
−8%
accelerating

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 38.22%, losing 7.1pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 9.5pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.0pp (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.8pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 0.2pp remained a drag).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
38.22%
−7.1pp
Gross Margin
50.40%
−9.5pp
SG&A / Revenue
6.06%
+1.0pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 415.8bn against investing cash flow of -151.2bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +264.7bn. Financing cash flow was negative +206.7bn.

CFO / net income was 1,20 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 93% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at +6.3%, other profit at +0.2% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
6.6%
low
Net financial / PBT
6.3%
Other profit / PBT
0.2%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 3.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.5 days, DSO fell 14.2 days, and DPO fell 11.6 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 38.2% -7.1pp
Asset turnover 0.56x -0.06x
Financial leverage 1.04x -0.15x
ROE 22.1% -10.9pp

ROE fell from 33.0% to 22.1% — dragged by net margin and leverage together.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 415.8bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.03x
Interest Coverage
None
Cash / Debt
None
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
None

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

●

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.12x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.03x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.9bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables and lower inventories. Pressure from lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 7.1 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.20x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.20x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 38.22% after a 7.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −10,4% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 38.22% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 415.8bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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