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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

VSH

Thủy điện Vĩnh Sơn - Sông Hinh

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 862.6bn, rose 147.4bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and lower finance costs. Offsetting pressure came mainly from weaker other profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
11.24x
P/B
2.01x
EPS
3,674
BVPS
20,566
ROE
17.8%
ROA
10.2%
Market price
41,300
20 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, VSH has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Finance costs
  3. Other profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue618.3621.9556.0501.6624.6666.7396.3412.5
LNST268.7216.4211.3166.3268.7301.478.067.2
Net margin43.46%34.79%38.00%33.15%43.02%45.21%19.68%16.28%

Revenue

618bn

Net income

269bn

Net margin

43.46%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 37.54%, rising 3.5pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 0.5pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.5pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (in addition, Net financial result / Revenue rose 3.6pp added support while Other profit / Revenue fell 1.8pp remained a drag).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Net Margin
37.54%
+3.5pp
Gross Margin
53.34%
+0.5pp
SG&A / Revenue
2.47%
−0.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 12.1% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 12.14%, rising 3.0pp. That translates to 12.14 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 5.1pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital easing slightly by 436bn.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Balance Sheet

▼

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is conservative with low leverage — liabilities at 0.65x equity, net debt at 0.47x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 76.2bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 20.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.3 days, DSO fell 28.4 days, and DPO fell 7.0 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 114.2 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +1.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 37.5% +3.5pp
Asset turnover 0.27x +0.04x
Financial leverage 1.75x -0.15x
ROE 17.8% +2.6pp

ROE rose from 15.2% to 17.8% — driven by asset turnover and net margin together, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at 0.47x and interest coverage at 5.13x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 3.3% of total debt, cash equals 13.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 2,621.6bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 13.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Net Debt / Equity
0.47x
−0.13x
Interest Coverage
5.13x
+2.06x
Cash / Debt
13.3%
+3.0pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
3.3%
+1.2pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,441.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -382.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +1,059.4bn. Financing cash flow was negative +1,359.4bn.

CFO / net income was 1,77 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 3.5 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 12.1%.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 37.54% after expanding 3.5pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +9,4% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 37.54% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 1,441.8bn in 2025.

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