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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

VBB

Ngân hàng TMCP Việt Nam Thương Tín

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼▼ PROVISION DOMINATED

TTM PATMI rose +VND 101.4bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower provision for credit losses, higher net interest income, and higher net fee income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower other income, higher operating expenses, and higher corporate income tax.

See what is changing ↓
P/B
1.1x
ROAE
10.7%
NIM
1.9%
Asset Yield
7.18%
Funding Cost
5.24%
ROAA
0.6%
Market price
12,450
16 Oct 2026

Bank Picture

VBB bank opening narrative plan rendered.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Provision for credit losses
  2. Net interest income
  3. Net fee income
  4. Investment securities
  5. FX & gold trading
  6. Other income
  7. Operating expenses
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Net Interest Income768,11.108,7828,0687,4702,5698,6852,1810,9
NII Growth YoY+9%+59%−3%−15%+56%———
NIM1,94%1,93%1,77%1,88%2,02%1,92%——
Net Fee Income21,637,058,734,230,526,946,329,8
Provision Expense194,967,183,294,0118,4440,4132,2141,9
Net Profit After Tax131,4519,8280,2211,7198,2247,4327,5268,6
Net Income Growth YoY−34%+110%−14%−21%+245%———

Net interest income

768bn

Provision expense

195bn

Net income

131bn

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A bank's statements are read with a bank's own questions: credit quality, margin, liquidity, funding.

01

Is credit clean?

Credit Quality

●

Is asset quality deteriorating?

Direct credit reading is still incomplete, but funding balance has tightened with LDR rising to 88.3%.

Reserve buffer on gross loans is around 1.51%. LDR stands at 88.3%.

Credit reading currently relies mainly on credit cost and reserve buffer; NPL, group-2, and bad-debt coverage signals will be added next.

Credit cost
0.25%
+0.0pp
Reserve / Gross loans
1.51%
+0.1pp
LDR
88.3%
+5.3pp

2026Q1

02

Is interest margin sustainable?

Interest Margin Quality

▼▼

Is spread coming under pressure?

Spread is under pressure from funding costs, with funding cost at 5.24%.

In the period, NIM reached 1.94%, −0.1pp YoY; asset yield was 7.18%, +0.4pp; while funding cost was 5.24%, +0.5pp. This suggests spread has become less favorable than before, though not yet in a clearly deteriorating two-sided way.

NIM is in a low zone

NIM stands at 1.94%, leaving less room on spread.

Funding cost is elevated

Funding cost is 5.24%, pressuring net interest margin.

NIM
1.94%
−0.1pp
Asset yield
7.18%
+0.4pp
Funding cost
5.24%
+0.5pp

2026Q1

Earnings Mix

●

Is profit coming from core or supporting income sources?

Earnings mix currently looks balanced, while cost discipline keeps CIR at 48.4%.

Nii accounts for 92.6% of toi, fee income is 4.1% of toi, other income is −0.1% of toi, cir stands at 48.4%, net profit equals 31.2% of toi.

CIR is elevated

CIR stands at 48.4%, suggesting cost discipline still needs work.

Fee-income base is thin

Fee income currently contributes only 4.1% of total operating income.

NII / TOI
92.6%
+0.8pp
Fee / TOI
4.1%
−0.3pp
Other income / TOI
−0.1%
CIR
48.4%
+0.7pp

2026Q1

03

Is liquidity safe?

Funding & Liquidity

▼▼

Are funding and capital buffers sufficiently safe?

Capital buffer is the key watchpoint, with equity only at 6.6% of ending assets.

Ldr stands at 88.3%, equity equals 6.6% of assets, customer funding accounts for 56.7% of interest-bearing funding, market funding accounts for 43.3%.

Capital buffer looks thin

Equity currently accounts for only 6.6% of ending assets.

Market funding dependence is high

Market funding now accounts for 43.3% of interest-bearing funding.

LDR
88.3%
+5.3pp
Equity / Assets
6.6%
+0.3pp
Customer funding
56.7%
−0.7pp
Market funding
43.3%
+0.7pp

2026Q1

Profitability Quality

▼▼

What is sustaining current profitability?

Profitability is under clearer pressure as provisioning is rising sharply, with ROAA currently at 0.63%.

Net income on average earning assets is 0.65%, nim stands at 1.94%, credit cost is 0.25%, cir stands at 48.4%, average leverage is around 16.99 times.

ROAA is low

ROAA stands at 0.63%, suggesting returns on assets are still soft.

ROAE should be watched

ROAE currently stands at 10.65%.

ROAA
0.63%
−0.0pp
ROAE
10.65%
−0.8pp
NI / Avg EA
0.65%
−0.0pp
Quarterly provision
VND 195bn
+190.6% QoQ

2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

VBB bank investment takeaway — provision dominated. [Placeholder for EN translation.]

  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 1.]
  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 2.]
  • [Placeholder for EN conclusion.]

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether this quarter's provision spike is a one-off clean-up move or a drag that will continue to pressure earnings in coming quarters.

  2. Track whether funding pressure continues to build, especially as market funding reliance and liquidity-buffer demands become less comfortable.

  3. Track whether the bank can build a clearer service-fee contribution to reduce reliance on a single earnings pillar.

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