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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

SP2

Thủy điện Sử Pán 2

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 63.0bn, rose 10.1bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs and higher gross profit. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
7.86x
P/B
2.90x
EPS
3,053
BVPS
8,284
ROE
44.9%
ROA
11.5%
Market price
24,000
12 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SP2 has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — profit is at an all-time high. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Gross profit
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue16.537.570.751.614.632.679.646.3
LNST-6.29.638.021.6-9.73.943.715.0
Net margin-37.27%25.57%53.69%41.84%-66.43%11.82%54.83%32.43%

Revenue

17bn

Net income

-6bn

Net margin

-37.27%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 35.71%, rising 5.2pp. The main driver is Gross margin rose 0.4pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 0.3pp, moving in line with the stronger net margin (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 4.7pp).

Most of the margin increase comes from non-core items — core operations have not kept pace, this is a margin expansion to watch carefully.

Net Margin
35.71%
+5.2pp
Gross Margin
47.53%
+0.4pp
SG&A / Revenue
2.94%
−0.3pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 2.13x equity, net debt at 0.66x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

Working Capital Efficiency

●

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 1.7 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 0.1 days, DSO fell 3.7 days, and DPO fell 5.5 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +1.7 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 35.7% +5.2pp
Asset turnover 0.32x +0.03x
Financial leverage 3.92x -3.35x
ROE 44.9% -19.1pp

ROE fell from 64.0% to 44.9% — leverage weakened the most, though net margin and asset turnover still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.66x and interest coverage at 4.75x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 47.6% of total debt, cash equals 14.4% of debt, and total debt stands at 132.7bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 14.4%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Net Debt / Equity
0.66x
−0.49x
Interest Coverage
4.75x
+2.09x
Cash / Debt
14.4%
−17.8pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
47.6%
−52.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 56.9bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -28.4bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +28.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +63.2bn.

CFO / net income was 1,04 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 5.2 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 35.71% after expanding 5.2pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +1,8% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 35.71% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 56.9bn in 2025.

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