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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

SHP

Thủy điện Miền Nam

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▼▼ Declining sharply

Trailing net profit reached 295.7bn, fell 45.0bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher financial income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit and higher administrative expenses. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
11.67x
P/B
2.84x
EPS
2,690
BVPS
11,070
ROE
26.1%
ROA
23.7%
Market price
31,400
20 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, SHP is retaining some revenue, but margins are collapsing sharply — profit momentum has been slowing across consecutive periods. Costs or the profit mix are deteriorating faster than revenue is declining — this is the factor to watch ahead of everything else.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Financial income
  2. Gross profit
  3. Administrative expenses
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue98.797.0206.5236.4138.666.1239.3232.5
LNST31.937.689.4136.958.813.2129.9138.8
Net margin32.32%38.73%43.26%57.92%42.44%19.96%54.30%59.71%

Revenue

99bn

Net income

32bn

Net margin

32.32%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

Revenue Growth

▼

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue declined 5.6% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+2% → −29%).

2 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
639bn
−5.6%
Latest quarter YoY
−29%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 46.31%, losing 4.1pp. The main pressure comes from Gross margin fell 3.3pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 1.5pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 1.4pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.3pp).

The pressure comes from core operations — this is a concerning type of decline, not a one-off movement.

Net Margin
46.31%
−4.1pp
Gross Margin
58.12%
−3.3pp
SG&A / Revenue
6.14%
+1.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

●

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 429.4bn against investing cash flow of 15.7bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +445.1bn. Financing cash flow was negative +280.6bn.

CFO / net income was 1,42 lần.

After spending +3.4bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +416.9bn.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 97% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at +2.6%, other profit at +0.6% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
3.2%
low
Net financial / PBT
2.6%
Other profit / PBT
0.6%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

●

Track how much operating profit the business generates on invested capital.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Working Capital Efficiency

▲

Working capital is being managed more efficiently, supporting overall capital efficiency. Cash conversion cycle improved by 4.2 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 1.3 days, DSO fell 5.5 days, and DPO rose 0.1 days.

Improvement comes mainly from faster receivables collection — reflects the quality of receivables management.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +1.3 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 46.3% -4.1pp
Asset turnover 0.51x +0.02x
Financial leverage 1.10x -0.13x
ROE 26.1% -4.7pp

ROE fell from 30.8% to 26.1% — dragged by leverage and net margin together, though asset turnover still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 429.4bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Track net leverage, interest coverage, and the liquidity buffer on the balance sheet.

Debt maturity and the cash buffer remain the two key areas to monitor.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.08x
Interest Coverage
None
Cash / Debt
None
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
None

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Balance Sheet

●

Balance sheet is exceptionally sound — liabilities at 0.07x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.08x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 46.6bn of cash, mainly thanks to lower receivables. Pressure from higher inventories and lower payables only partly offset that benefit.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 4.1 pp. The next watchpoint is capital efficiency. The main offsetting support comes from earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.42x.

  • Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.42x.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 46.31% after a 4.1pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue stabilizes after a −5,6% YoY decline or keeps falling.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 46.31% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 429.4bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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