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iShareInvest Research

HNX · Quý 1/2026

L14

Licogi 14

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼ Under pressure

Trailing net profit reached 15.1bn, fell 6.5bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower finance costs, lower selling expenses, lower tax, and lower administrative expenses. Offsetting pressure came mainly from lower gross profit and lower financial income. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
36.87x
P/B
1.24x
EPS
491
BVPS
14,540
ROE
3.4%
ROA
2.4%
Market price
18,100
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, L14 is in an offsetting state — revenue softened slightly but margins improved — earnings have been recovering gradually over multiple periods. More notably, profit is significantly supported by non-core sources and operating cash flow is not yet positive — the earnings quality picture needs close monitoring.

Sector note: developer revenue is recognised at handover — large quarter-to-quarter swings are normal; read on a trailing-12-month basis and against the delivery schedule.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Finance costs
  2. Selling expenses
  3. Tax
  4. Administrative expenses
  5. Gross profit
  6. Financial income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue28.246.01.115.931.771.520.821.5
LNST1.51.17.55.08.51.17.24.8
Net margin5.35%2.43%689.70%31.66%26.76%1.56%34.65%22.41%

Revenue

28bn

Net income

2bn

Net margin

5.35%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Accounting profit is positive but operating cash flow has not caught up — needs more time to confirm.

What is driving the margin?

▲

Net margin expanded to 16.62%, rising 1.8pp. Despite pressure from Gross margin fell 14.9pp and SG&A / Revenue rose 2.7pp, the offset came from Net financial result / Revenue rose 20.1pp.

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Developer revenue is recognised at handover — large swings between quarters are a property-sector feature, not a business trend. Read on a TTM basis and against the delivery schedule.

2024Q4: 71.5bn

2025Q1: 31.7bn

2025Q2: 15.9bn

2025Q3: 1.1bn

2025Q4: 46.0bn

2026Q1: 28.2bn

Net Margin
16.62%
+1.8pp
Gross Margin
32.89%
−14.9pp
SG&A / Revenue
21.05%
+2.7pp
Non-core / Revenue
9.41%
+20.1pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Financial result is supporting margin

Financial result accounts for 44.8% of PBT and lifted net margin by 20.1pp — separate the operating contribution from this source.

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 4.1% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▼

ROIC fell to 4.08%, losing 1.6pp. That translates to 4.08 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main pressure came from capital turnover fell 0.17x — capital is being absorbed faster than revenue is being generated; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.43x equity, with a net cash position equivalent to 0.11x equity.

Customer advances 45.9bn (as of 2026Q1) — deposits on units/projects not yet handed over: revenue already sold but not yet recognised, a lead indicator of profit in upcoming delivery quarters. Advances fell 20.01% without a matching rise in TTM revenue — sales pace to watch. Advances cover only 23.95% of current inventory — most of the pipeline is not yet pre-sold.

Customer advances: 45.9bn · YoY −11.5bn · QoQ −16.5bn

Locked-in revenue: ~2.02x quarters of revenue (TTM)

Inventory pre-sold: 23.95%

Project inventory splits in two at 2026Q1: 191.9bn near-delivery stock (short-term) and 5.7bn construction-in-progress (long-term). Weighted toward near-delivery — the revenue-recognition cycle is approaching.

Near-delivery (ST): 191.9bn (97.14%)

Construction-in-progress (LT): 5.7bn (2.86%)

For a developer the question is not debt-to-equity but whether borrowings are backed by the project pipeline. At 2026Q1, net debt 50.0bn vs project value 197.5bn — ratio −25.31%; the company is in a net-cash position.

Net debt / project value: −25.31%

Development inventory ended the period at 199.3bn, about 31.2% of total assets — reflecting projects in progress awaiting handover.

Over the last 12 months, working capital released 0.0bn of cash.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 16.6% +1.8pp
Asset turnover 0.15x -0.08x
Financial leverage 1.40x -0.07x
ROE 3.4% -1.6pp

ROE fell from 5.0% to 3.4% — asset turnover weakened the most, though net margin still provided support.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — the company has net cash and CFO reached 0.5bn.

Leverage & Liquidity

▲

Leverage looks fairly comfortable, with net debt / equity at −0.11x and interest coverage at 8.24x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 95.5% of total debt, cash equals 610.2% of debt, and total debt stands at 9.8bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Short-term refinancing pressure is meaningful

Short-term debt accounts for 95.5% of total debt, raising near-term refinancing needs.

Net Debt / Equity
−0.11x
+0.04x
Interest Coverage
8.24x
+7.24x
Cash / Debt
610.2%
−10.4pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
95.5%
+42.5pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 0.5bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -18.0bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +17.5bn. Financing cash flow was negative +3.0bn.

CFO / net income was −1,61 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing a few weaker signals, but the current magnitude is not yet clear enough to conclude that this is a broader weakening phase. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 1.8 pp. Even so, earnings quality still needs closer monitoring because net financial result remains elevated.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 16.62% after expanding 1.8pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: the earnings mix still needs monitoring, with net financial result still accounting for 44.8% of PBT and CFO / net income currently at −1.61x.

Questions for the next period

  1. Ability to stabilize revenue after a −37,4% YoY decline.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 16.62% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 0.5bn in 2025.

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