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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 2/2026

HDG

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Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 2/2026

▲▲ Improving positively

Trailing net profit reached 669.0bn, rose 247.7bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit and lower finance costs. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher administrative expenses and higher minority interests. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
8.27x
P/B
0.73x
EPS
1,796
BVPS
20,439
ROE
8.3%
ROA
4.7%
Market price
14,850
19 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q2 basis, HDG has not accelerated revenue sharply, but profitability is improving visibly — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. Profit growth is driven mainly by better operations rather than scale expansion — a foundation that tends to be more durable.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Finance costs
  3. Other
  4. Administrative expenses
  5. Minority interests
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 2/2026

MetricQ2'26Q1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24
Revenue486.4683.9884.9712.5583.8598.6754.6566.9
LNST103.9104.0373.4336.734.0206.9208.1182.0
Net margin21.35%15.20%42.20%47.25%5.82%34.57%27.58%32.10%

Revenue

486bn

Net income

104bn

Net margin

21.35%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins are improving and earnings quality is solid — a durable foundation for ROE.

Revenue Growth

▲

Is growth real and durable?

Trailing-12-month revenue grew 10.5% year on year — but the quarterly pace is slowing (+26% → −17%).

3 of the last 4 quarters grew year on year.

Revenue TTM
2,768bn
+10.5%
Latest quarter YoY
−17%
slowing

What is driving the margin?

▲▲

Net margin expanded to 33.16%, rising 8.0pp. Core operating signals are improving as Gross margin rose 4.3pp are enough to offset pressure from SG&A / Revenue rose 1.6pp (with additional support from Net financial result / Revenue rose 4.6pp and Other profit / Revenue rose 0.5pp).

Margin improves from both core operations and non-core items — the core foundation is positive, but the sustainability of non-core contributions needs monitoring.

Net Margin
33.16%
+8.0pp
Gross Margin
65.96%
+4.3pp
SG&A / Revenue
17.78%
+1.6pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash Flow

▲

Is profit converting into cash?

With leverage safe, cash flow shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 1,243.5bn against investing cash flow of -587.9bn (annual cash-flow figures for 2025).

Post-investment cash flow was positive +655.6bn. Financing cash flow was negative +714.8bn.

CFO / net income was 1,53 lần.

After spending +123.3bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of +900.4bn.

For residential developers, FCF and CFO swing with project cycles — negative during investment phases and positive at handover — not representative of single-year efficiency.

Earnings Quality

▲

How much income is non-core?

About 94% of pre-tax profit comes from core operations.

Within that, net financial result at −26.8%, other profit at +5.9% of PBT.

Non-core / PBT
5.9%
low
Net financial / PBT
−26.8%
Other profit / PBT
5.9%
02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles and handover timing — ROIC of 7.8% fluctuates with handover cycles.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 7.81%, rising 2.2pp. That translates to 7.81 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. The main driver is NOPAT margin rose 7.6pp, with capital turnover broadly stable; with invested capital holding roughly steady.

For real estate developers, ROIC moves with project cycles — this is a reference signal, and the real assessment needs upcoming handover periods.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 33.2% +8.0pp
Asset turnover 0.19x +0.02x
Financial leverage 1.78x -0.09x
ROE 11.4% +3.1pp

ROE rose from 8.3% to 11.4% — mainly driven by net margin, despite leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Financial risk is low — leverage is safe, both CFO and FCF are positive.

Leverage & Liquidity

●

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.50x and interest coverage at 2.94x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 12.7% of total debt, cash equals 5.6% of debt, and total debt stands at 4,372.8bn.

Leverage for residential developers should be read alongside project cycles, development inventory, and handover timing.

Net Debt / Equity
0.50x
−0.11x
Interest Coverage
2.94x
+1.12x
Cash / Debt
5.6%
−1.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
12.7%
+1.4pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q2 -> 2026Q2

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 5.6%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Balance Sheet

●

ROIC for residential developers swings with project cycles and handover timing. Capital structure is notably light for the real estate sector — liabilities at 0.75x equity, net debt at 0.50x equity.

None

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 80.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher inventories and lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is showing brightening signals, but the improvement is still early and not yet thick enough to read as a confirmed trend. The brighter spot is operating efficiency, with net margin improving 8.0 pp. The next item to monitor is capital efficiency, with ROIC at 7.8%. The main risk still sits in leverage and liquidity, with interest coverage at 2.94x.

  • Improvement: operating efficiency is getting better, with trailing-12M net margin at 33.16% after expanding 8.0pp versus the same period last year.
  • Watchpoint: Capital efficiency needs cycle context.
  • Key risk: leverage and liquidity remain a pressure point, with net debt / equity at 0.50x and a thin cash buffer.

Questions for the next period

  1. Whether revenue sustains its +10,5% YoY pace or begins to slow.

  2. Whether margins hold around the current 33.16% level or narrow again.

  3. Whether operating cash flow holds its 1,243.5bn (cumulative for 2025) level in upcoming periods or weakens.

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