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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

HDB

Ngân hàng TMCP Phát triển Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▲ STABLE WITH WATCH ITEMS

TTM PATMI rose +VND 3,147.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher net interest income, higher net fee income, and higher investment securities. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher provision for credit losses, higher corporate income tax, and lower other income.

See what is changing ↓
P/B
1.4x
ROAE
23.6%
NIM
4.6%
Asset Yield
9.32%
Funding Cost
4.74%
ROAA
2.0%
Market price
22,800
16 Oct 2026

Bank Picture

HDB bank opening narrative plan rendered.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Net interest income
  2. Net fee income
  3. Investment securities
  4. FX & gold trading
  5. Operating expenses
  6. Provision for credit losses
  7. Corporate income tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Net Interest Income8.483,09.755,67.763,39.819,27.408,18.202,77.773,47.719,9
NII Growth YoY+15%+19%−0%+27%+3%———
NIM4,58%4,64%5,12%5,21%5,24%5,26%——
Net Fee Income847,1874,41.187,21.331,6733,3423,5412,1224,6
Provision Expense1.258,51.991,12.294,04.141,11.324,81.831,91.093,51.126,2
Net Profit After Tax4.902,15.220,23.798,83.676,14.357,73.237,23.545,63.251,9
Net Income Growth YoY+12%+61%+7%+13%+36%———

Net interest income

8,483bn

Provision expense

1,258bn

Net income

4,902bn

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A bank's statements are read with a bank's own questions: credit quality, margin, liquidity, funding.

01

Is credit clean?

Credit Quality

●

Is asset quality deteriorating?

Credit reading still relies mainly on credit cost, now at 1.24% of average earning assets; the missing piece is whether this level is just short-term noise or a new underlying base.

Reserve buffer on gross loans is around 1.30%. LDR stands at 81.8%.

Credit reading currently relies mainly on credit cost and reserve buffer; NPL, group-2, and bad-debt coverage signals will be added next.

Credit cost
1.24%
−0.1pp
Reserve / Gross loans
1.30%
−0.0pp
LDR
81.8%
−1.4pp

2026Q1

02

Is interest margin sustainable?

Interest Margin Quality

▼

Is spread coming under pressure?

Spread deserves closer monitoring because funding cost is already at 4.74%, even if pressure is not yet as severe as in clearer compression cases. This suggests spread is under pressure from both sides, with softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

In the period, NIM reached 4.58%, −0.7pp YoY; asset yield was 9.32%, −0.6pp; while funding cost was 4.74%, +0.1pp. This suggests spread has become less favorable mainly because asset yields softened, while the mild rise in funding cost is not yet enough to call it a strong two-sided compression episode.

Spread compression in progress

Spread is under pressure from both sides, with softer asset yields and rising funding costs.

Funding cost is elevated

Funding cost is 4.74%, pressuring net interest margin.

NIM
4.58%
−0.7pp
Asset yield
9.32%
−0.6pp
Funding cost
4.74%
+0.1pp

2026Q1

Earnings Mix

▲▲

Is profit coming from core or supporting income sources?

Earnings remain primarily core-led, with NII contributing around 82.5% of total operating income.

Nii accounts for 82.5% of toi, fee income is 9.8% of toi, other income is 1.0% of toi, cir stands at 26.9%, net profit equals 40.5% of toi.

Fee income is helping diversify the earnings mix

Fee income share is improving clearly enough to make the earnings mix less dependent on net interest income.

NII / TOI
82.5%
+1.1pp
Fee / TOI
9.8%
+0.1pp
Other income / TOI
1.0%
CIR
26.9%
−0.3pp

2026Q1

03

Is liquidity safe?

Funding & Liquidity

●

Are funding and capital buffers sufficiently safe?

Funding and liquidity look more balanced, with LDR at 81.8% while customer funding share is improving.

Ldr stands at 81.8%, equity equals 8.5% of assets, customer funding accounts for 70.8% of interest-bearing funding, market funding accounts for 29.2%.

LDR
81.8%
−1.4pp
Equity / Assets
8.5%
+0.0pp
Customer funding
70.8%
+2.2pp
Market funding
29.2%
−2.2pp

2026Q1

Profitability Quality

▲▲

What is sustaining current profitability?

Profitability quality looks constructive, with ROAA at 2.08% and ROAE at 24.40%, primarily supported by spread.

Net income on average earning assets is 2.25%, nim stands at 4.58%, credit cost is 1.24%, cir stands at 26.9%, average leverage is around 11.76 times.

ROAA
2.08%
−0.0pp
ROAE
24.40%
−0.9pp
NI / Avg EA
2.25%
−0.0pp
Quarterly provision
VND 1,258bn
−36.8% QoQ

2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

HDB bank investment takeaway — core engine with caveat. [Placeholder for EN translation.]

  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 1.]
  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 2.]
  • [Placeholder for EN conclusion.]

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether the recent provision relief is sustainable or only a temporary favorable base before credit costs revert higher.

  2. Track whether the recent shift back toward customer funding can hold, rather than proving to be only a short-term quarterly improvement.

  3. Track whether core income can remain the main earnings anchor while fee income continues to broaden in a sustainable way.

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