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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

BHI

Tổng Công ty cổ phần Bảo hiểm Sài Gòn - Hà Nội

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼ CLAIMS PRESSURE

TTM profit before tax through 2026Q1 rose +VND 42.4bn year on year. Key drivers include premium volume, claims experience, expense ratio, investment income and other items.

See what is changing ↓
COMBINED RATIO
171,2%
LOSS RATIO
60,7%
EXPENSE RATIO
110,5%
ROE
4,4%
EPS
498
BVPS
11.956
Market price
5,900
13 Oct 2026

Insurance Overview

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Premium volume
  2. Unclassified
  3. Claims experience
  4. Chi phí khai thác BH
  5. Investment income
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue444.4308.7578.3700.8653.0593.5651.2714.2
LNST27.737.0-30.431.0-6.729.7-57.557.5
Net margin6.24%11.99%-5.25%4.42%-1.02%5.00%-8.83%8.04%

Revenue

444bn

Net income

28bn

Net margin

6.24%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

An insurer's statements are read with the industry's own questions: premiums, claims, investment income, capital and reserves.

01

Is premium growth healthy?

Premium growth and revenue engine

▼

Net insurance premium growth fell −22.2% year on year, so the revenue engine is not the confirming leg. Net insurance revenue growth was -11.4%, making it important to separate demand pressure from reinsurance policy.

If this persists for several quarters, premium will move from a qualifying layer to a thesis-weaking point.

NET PREMIUM GROWTH
−22.2%
None
NET PREMIUM RETENTION
97.7%
+14.9 ppt
NET INSURANCE PREMIUM
2,236.3bn
None
NET INSURANCE BUSINESS REVENUE
2,562.9bn
None
GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM
2,588.0bn
None
CEDED REINSURANCE PREMIUM
782.3bn
None
02

Is underwriting profitable?

Underwriting quality and claims pressure

▼

Claims burden rose +13.7 ppt, large enough to treat as a period claims shock. The combined ratio was 151.2%, so underwriting deserves a more conservative read than other sections.

Separate one-off weather or large-loss effects from the longer-term pricing trend.

CLAIMS BURDEN
60.7%
+13.7 ppt
DIRECT EXPENSE BURDEN
94.6%
-4.2 ppt
CLAIM EXPENSES
1,204.6bn
None
DIRECT UNDERWRITING EXPENSES
2,494.0bn
None
INSURANCE COMMISSION EXPENSE
235.1bn
None
CLAIM RESERVE MOVEMENT
50.1bn
None

Investment income and profit mix

▲

Financial profit still contributed 518.3% of PBT, but the share moved -519.5 ppt. The investment engine is therefore less forceful than last year, while PAT received 1096.8% from this source.

If underwriting does not improve fast enough, weaker investment yield will reduce thesis confidence.

FINANCIAL PROFIT TO PBT
—
None
FINANCIAL EXPENSE BURDEN
11.0%
+6.6 ppt
FINANCIAL ACTIVITY PROFIT
147.0bn
None
PROFIT BEFORE TAX
28.4bn
None
PROFIT AFTER TAX
13.4bn
None
INSURANCE GROSS PROFIT
68.9bn
None
03

Are capital and reserves adequate?

Capital, reserves and balance-sheet strength

◆

Equity to assets was 30.0%, giving the non-life model a healthy capital buffer. Liquid investments to assets stood at 48.4%, giving the balance sheet room to absorb claims volatility.

Capital is a supportive context layer here, not the main story.

EQUITY TO ASSETS
30.0%
+5.4 ppt
LIABILITIES TO EQUITY
2.33x
-0.73x
TOTAL ASSETS
4,373.8bn
None
TOTAL EQUITY
1,200.3bn
None
REINSURANCE ASSETS
896.7bn
None
OPERATING CASH FLOW
730.9bn
None

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

Claims pressure is the main bottleneck, with claims burden at 60.7%.

The other sections show mixed signals: premium remains stable with retention at 97.7% and premium contracting −22.2%; investment income plays a supporting role with financial profit at 147.0bn; capital structure with equity to assets at 30.0% is a capital buffer to cross-check.

Claims development and combined ratio need monitoring over coming quarters. Overall, the direction for BHI is supported by the section evidence, and we assess the outlook with high confidence.

Questions for the next period

  1. Watch whether claims pressure — with the claims burden currently at 53.9% — eases in coming periods, as this is a key driver of underwriting profit.

  2. Watch whether technical reserves — currently 70.6% of total liabilities — remain elevated or change materially in coming periods, as the liability mix leans toward insurance reserves.

  3. Watch whether financial profit — currently equal to 518.3% of pre-tax profit — can sustain its contribution, as pre-tax profit currently depends heavily on investment income.

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