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iShareInvest Research

UPCOM · Quý 1/2026

SD3

Sông Đà 3

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼ Slightly negative

Trailing net profit reached 32.5bn, rose 1.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from higher gross profit. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher finance costs, weaker other profit, higher administrative expenses, and higher tax. Detailed impact is shown below:

See what is changing ↓
P/E
4.50x
P/B
2.21x
EPS
2,045
BVPS
4,169
ROE
47.3%
ROA
3.3%
Market price
9,200
15 Oct 2026

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2026Q1 basis, SD3 is showing a few mildly negative signals versus the same period, though nothing alarming at current levels — the growth momentum has held across consecutive periods. The point still to be proven is whether this is a short adjustment or the beginning of a weaker trend.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Gross profit
  2. Finance costs
  3. Other profit
  4. Administrative expenses
  5. Tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Revenue49.045.726.246.451.142.211.832.3
LNST20.426.3-6.2-7.417.234.9-11.8-8.5
Net margin41.56%57.61%-23.52%-15.87%33.64%82.60%-99.75%-26.41%

Revenue

49bn

Net income

20bn

Net margin

41.56%

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A company's statements are read with the questions that fit its type of business.

01

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

What is driving the margin?

▼▼

Net margin fell to 19.84%, losing 3.3pp. Gross margin rose 12.6pp and SG&A / Revenue fell 1.7pp improved but not enough to offset the weakness in Net financial result / Revenue fell 10.6pp and Other profit / Revenue fell 6.3pp.

Margin is under pressure from multiple sides — temporary and structural components need to be separated to properly assess the risk.

Net Margin
19.84%
−3.3pp
Gross Margin
65.35%
+12.6pp
SG&A / Revenue
12.96%
−1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

02

Is capital being used efficiently?

Capital efficiency for utilities should be read alongside regulated tariffs and long-cycle depreciation — ROIC of 6.7% reflects a large fixed-asset base.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

▲

ROIC expanded to 6.72%, rising 2.1pp. That translates to 6.72 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin rose 2.4pp and capital turnover rose 0.06x, with invested capital holding roughly steady — capital-return quality improved from both sides.

For utilities, ROIC reflects returns on a large fixed-asset base — this is a reference signal and should be read alongside regulated tariffs.

Balance Sheet

▼▼

ROIC for utilities reflects a large fixed-asset base and regulated tariffs — the balance sheet below adds perspective. Leverage is very high, with clear pressure on the capital structure — liabilities at 19.66x equity, net debt at 7.42x equity.

Inventory ended the period at 148.7bn, roughly 15.5% of total assets.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 39.0bn of cash, mainly because of lower payables. Part of that drag was offset by lower receivables and lower inventories.

Working Capital Efficiency

▼

The inventory build-up noted above is reflected in a longer cash cycle. Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 47.0 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO rose 157.1 days, DSO fell 111.6 days, and DPO fell 1.5 days.

Working capital cycle lengthened mainly due to slower inventory turnover — more capital is being tied up in inventory.

For utilities, working capital cycle reflects regulated pricing mechanics and long-term settlement contracts — DSO/DIO/DPO should be treated as contextual signals rather than pure efficiency indicators.

Cash conversion cycle remains stretched

CCC stands at 644.7 days, suggesting that working capital remains tied up for a relatively long operating cycle.

Inventory turnover is slowing

DIO increased by +157.1 days, suggesting more capital is being tied up in inventories.

DuPont

What drives ROE?

Net margin 19.8% -3.3pp
Asset turnover 0.17x +0.03x
Financial leverage 14.16x -0.21x
ROE 48.3% +2.1pp

ROE rose from 46.2% to 48.3% — mainly driven by asset turnover, despite net margin and leverage moving in the opposite direction.

03

Is financial risk significant?

Check leverage, liquidity, and cash-flow conversion.

Leverage & Liquidity

▼

Leverage warrants monitoring, with net debt / equity at 7.42x and interest coverage only at 1.01x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 23.3% of total debt, cash equals 5.5% of debt, and total debt stands at 523.7bn.

Leverage for utilities reflects long-term capital needs for fixed assets and recovery through regulated pricing — elevated leverage is structural to the industry.

Net leverage is elevated

Net debt / equity stands at 7.42x, increasing balance-sheet pressure.

Interest coverage is thin

Interest coverage is 1.01x, leaving limited room to absorb financing costs.

Net Debt / Equity
7.42x
−0.08x
Interest Coverage
1.01x
−0.46x
Cash / Debt
5.5%
+5.1pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt
23.3%
+1.7pp

TTM YoY · 2025Q1 -> 2026Q1

Cash Flow

●

Leverage needs watching — cash flow below shows the ability to service debt from operations. Operating cash flow reached 47.8bn in 2025, against investing cash flow of -1.1bn.

Post-investment cash flow was positive +46.8bn. Financing cash flow was negative +33.6bn.

CFO / net income was 1,27 lần.

Track how much investment can be funded internally from operating cash flow.

For utilities, high capex and long investment cycles are structural — short-term FCF volatility does not reflect long-term cash generation through regulated pricing.

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

The business is under real pressure, but the current picture has not turned broadly adverse. A notable area has clearly weakened, making the near-term outlook hard to call bright; even so, other parts of the business are still holding up, with margins remain under pressure remaining the main constraint, with net margin down 3.3 pp. The next watchpoint is the earnings mix, when non-core contribution is 17.7%.

  • Watchpoint: cash flow is currently keeping pace with accounting earnings, with CFO / net income at 1.27x. Even so, net financial result still accounts for 17.7% of PBT, so the earnings mix still needs monitoring.
  • Key risk: profitability remains under pressure, with trailing-12M net margin at 19.84% after a 3.3pp decline versus the same period last year.

Questions for the next period

  1. Durability of revenue growth after the current +21,7% YoY pace.

  2. Ability to hold margins around the current 19.84% level.

  3. Cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow currently at 47.8bn in 2025.

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