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iShareInvest Research

HOSE · Quý 1/2026

CTG

Ngân hàng TMCP Công Thương Việt Nam

Analysis of business results & financial statements · Quý 1/2026

▼ FUNDING UNDER PRESSURE

TTM PATMI rose +VND 12,287.2bn compared with the same period last year. Key positives came from lower provision for credit losses, higher net interest income, and higher other income. Offsetting pressure came mainly from higher operating expenses, higher corporate income tax, and lower fx & gold trading.

See what is changing ↓
P/B
1.3x
ROAE
22.2%
NIM
2.7%
Asset Yield
5.82%
Funding Cost
3.13%
ROAA
1.4%
Market price
30,600
16 Oct 2026

Bank Picture

CTG bank opening narrative plan rendered.

Profit bridge

Vs last year · TTM

  1. Provision for credit losses
  2. Net interest income
  3. Other income
  4. Investment securities
  5. Trading securities
  6. Operating expenses
  7. Corporate income tax
Unit: VND bn. Green bars support profit; red bars reduce profit.

A single data point, or a trajectory?

Latest eight quarters · Quý 1/2026

MetricQ1'26Q4'25Q3'25Q2'25Q1'25Q4'24Q3'24Q2'24
Net Interest Income19.385,217.959,717.175,715.842,615.475,216.312,215.577,515.338,9
NII Growth YoY+25%+10%+10%+3%+2%———
NIM2,69%2,66%2,67%2,73%2,85%2,89%——
Net Fee Income1.847,01.696,91.587,31.434,21.610,51.239,71.801,41.886,2
Provision Expense7.700,9350,95.863,42.972,88.111,02.464,39.268,77.816,7
Net Profit After Tax8.960,011.093,68.512,59.752,05.499,49.870,65.192,55.409,4
Net Income Growth YoY+63%+12%+64%+80%+10%———

Net interest income

19,385bn

Provision expense

7,701bn

Net income

8,960bn

A closer look at what is happening inside the business

A bank's statements are read with a bank's own questions: credit quality, margin, liquidity, funding.

01

Is credit clean?

Credit Quality

●

Is asset quality deteriorating?

Liquidity balance is tightening, with LDR up to 101.0% and near-term funding room looking thinner than last quarter.

Reserve buffer on gross loans is around 1.70%. LDR stands at 101.0%.

Credit reading currently relies mainly on credit cost and reserve buffer; NPL, group-2, and bad-debt coverage signals will be added next.

LDR is stretched

LDR stands at 101.0%, leaving less room on liquidity.

Credit cost
0.65%
−0.0pp
Reserve / Gross loans
1.70%
−0.0pp
LDR
101.0%
+1.6pp

2026Q1

02

Is interest margin sustainable?

Interest Margin Quality

▼

Is spread coming under pressure?

Spread deserves closer monitoring because funding cost is already at 3.13%, even if pressure is not yet as severe as in clearer compression cases.

In the period, NIM reached 2.69%, −0.2pp YoY; asset yield was 5.82%, +0.1pp; while funding cost was 3.13%, +0.2pp. This suggests spread has become less favorable than before, though not yet in a clearly deteriorating two-sided way.

NIM
2.69%
−0.2pp
Asset yield
5.82%
+0.1pp
Funding cost
3.13%
+0.2pp

2026Q1

Earnings Mix

●

Is profit coming from core or supporting income sources?

Earnings mix currently looks balanced.

Nii accounts for 76.5% of toi, fee income is 7.1% of toi, other income is 11.3% of toi, cir stands at 29.7%, net profit equals 41.7% of toi.

Fee-income base is thin

Fee income currently contributes only 7.1% of total operating income.

NII / TOI
76.5%
+0.4pp
Fee / TOI
7.1%
−0.1pp
Other income / TOI
11.3%
−0.3pp
CIR
29.7%
−0.7pp

2026Q1

03

Is liquidity safe?

Funding & Liquidity

▼▼

Are funding and capital buffers sufficiently safe?

Liquidity balance is tightening, with LDR up to 101.0% and implying balance-sheet usage is running ahead of funding cushion.

Ldr stands at 101.0%, equity equals 6.5% of assets, customer funding accounts for 74.9% of interest-bearing funding, market funding accounts for 25.1%.

LDR is stretched

LDR stands at 101.0%, leaving less room on liquidity.

Capital buffer looks thin

Equity currently accounts for only 6.5% of ending assets.

LDR
101.0%
+1.6pp
Equity / Assets
6.5%
−0.0pp
Customer funding
74.9%
−0.3pp
Market funding
25.1%
+0.3pp

2026Q1

Profitability Quality

▼▼

What is sustaining current profitability?

Profitability is under clearer pressure as provisioning is rising sharply, with ROAA currently at 1.42%.

Net income on average earning assets is 1.47%, nim stands at 2.69%, credit cost is 0.65%, cir stands at 29.7%, average leverage is around 15.74 times.

Average leverage is elevated

Average leverage is currently around 15.74 times.

Provisioning is rising sharply

Quarterly provision expense increased 2094.5% QoQ.

ROAA
1.42%
+0.1pp
ROAE
22.36%
+1.2pp
NI / Avg EA
1.47%
+0.1pp
Quarterly provision
VND 7,701bn
+2094.5% QoQ

2026Q1

Research synthesis

What this reporting period is showing

CTG bank investment takeaway — funding under pressure. [Placeholder for EN translation.]

  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 1.]
  • [Placeholder for EN evidence line 2.]
  • [Placeholder for EN conclusion.]

Questions for the next period

  1. Track whether this quarter's provision spike is a one-off clean-up move or a drag that will continue to pressure earnings in coming quarters.

  2. Track whether funding pressure continues to build, especially as market funding reliance and liquidity-buffer demands become less comfortable.

  3. Track whether the bank can build a clearer service-fee contribution to reduce reliance on a single earnings pillar.

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