CMG

Tập đoàn Công nghệ CMC ·HOSE ·2025Q3

▲ Showing improvement

Earnings conversion is confirmed CFO/NPAT 1.09x
Price
27,750
Latest close
05 Jun 2026
P/E 15.32x
P/B 1.47x
EPS 1,811
BVPS 18,847
ROE 10.3%
ROA 4.4%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Asset Turnover 1.11x
Equity Mult. 2.31x

TTM · Applied to: EPS, ROE, ROA, Net Margin, Asset Turnover, Debt/Equity

What Is Changing

On a TTM 2025Q3 basis, CMG is maintaining revenue growth, but margins have not improved proportionally — profit is at an all-time high. What is still missing is the ability to convert top-line growth into better profitability.

TTM REVENUE
VND 9,378bn
+28.0%YoY
NET MARGIN
5.05%
−0.3ppYoY
TTM NET PROFIT
VND 473bn
+20.9%YoY
Metric Q3'25 Q2'25 Q1'25 Q2'24 Q4'23 Q3'23 Q2'23 Q1'23 Q4'22 Q3'22 Q2'22 Q1'22
Revenue 2,563.1 2,420.1 2,210.1 2,184.5 1,649.0 2,116.7 1,789.6 1,771.5 1,831.0 2,302.1 1,835.3 1,709.3
Growth +6% +10% +1% +32% -22% +18% +1% -3% -20% +25% +7%
Net Income 165.8 112.9 116.7 77.7 60.4 153.2 80.9 96.7 52.2 124.8 103.6 91.9
Net Margin 6.47% 4.66% 5.28% 3.56% 3.66% 7.24% 4.52% 5.46% 2.85% 5.42% 5.65% 5.38%

Drivers of CMG's profit

TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs last year, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 292.5bn
Associates income ↑ 8.4bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 92.6bn
Selling expenses ↑ 59.6bn
Minority interests ↑ 30.7bn
Tax ↑ 26.0bn
TTM

Net profit attributable to parent increased vs prior quarter, mainly helped by higher gross profit. Supporting and offsetting drivers:

Gross profit ↑ 173.7bn
Selling expenses ↓ 10.8bn
Associates income ↑ 9.8bn
Administrative expenses ↑ 32.1bn
Financial income ↓ 24.8bn
Finance costs ↑ 16.6bn

Financial Highlights

Detailed analysis of each financial dimension

Is the profit sustainable?

Margins narrowed but earnings quality remains clean — pressure is mainly operational.

very positive positive stable watch under pressure

What is driving the margin?

Net margin stands at 5.05%, broadly flat versus the same period. Supportive factors and pressure points are offsetting one another.

Margin is nearly flat but the underlying components are moving — this is a transitional phase, more time is needed to see the real trend.

Profitability trend

Net Margin 5.05% −0.3pp
Gross Margin 17.54% −0.9pp
SG&A / Revenue 11.98% −1.3pp

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

Is capital being used efficiently?

Evaluate capital, asset, and working-capital efficiency.

Is capital being deployed efficiently?

ROIC narrowed to 8.26%, falling 0.9pp. That translates to 8.26 in after-tax operating profit for every 100 units of operating capital. Both NOPAT margin narrowed 0.2pp and capital turnover fell 0.10x, while invested capital expanded strongly by 1,522bn — pressure came from both operational efficiency and asset efficiency.

Both margin and turnover weakened — this is a broad-based decline, and cyclical versus structural components need to be separated.

CAPITAL EFFICIENCY TREND

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

ROIC 8.26% −0.9pp
NOPAT Margin 5.05% −0.2pp
Capital Turnover 1.64x −0.10x
Average Invested Capital 5,734.3bn +1,521.9bn

Balance Sheet

Capital structure is balanced — liabilities at 1.05x equity, net debt at 0.78x equity.

Over the last 12 months, working capital absorbed 487.5bn of cash, mainly because of higher receivables and higher inventories. Part of that drag was offset by higher payables.

Working Capital Drivers

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

Receivables increased → lower CFO: −1,264.1bn
Inventories increased → lower CFO: −75.5bn
Payables increased → higher CFO: +852.1bn

Working Capital Efficiency

Cash conversion cycle lengthened by 0.1 days versus the same period last year. The main moves came from DIO fell 1.4 days, DSO fell 9.3 days, and DPO fell 10.8 days.

Working capital cycle is flat — components are offsetting each other.

Watchpoints

Cash conversion cycle is lengthening

CCC is up by +0.1 days, indicating weaker working-capital turnover versus the prior year.

Working Capital Efficiency

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

Receivables 57.8 days −9.3 days
Inventory 9.3 days −1.4 days
Payables 36.0 days −10.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 31.0 days +0.1 days

Is financial risk significant?

Leverage is safe but FCF is negative at 673.0bn due to capex of 1,082.8bn — an investment choice, not an urgent risk.

Leverage & Liquidity

Leverage is balanced for now, with net debt / equity at 0.78x and interest coverage at 4.48x.

At present, short-term debt accounts for 33.8% of total debt, cash equals 13.3% of debt, and total debt stands at 3,573.6bn.

Watchpoints

Cash buffer is thin relative to debt

Cash / debt stands at 13.3%, leaving limited liquidity buffer to monitor.

Leverage and liquidity trend

Net Debt / Equity 0.78x +0.47x
Interest Coverage 4.48x +0.12x
Cash / Debt 13.3% −20.4pp
Short-term Debt / Total Debt 33.8% −16.9pp
CFO / NI 1.09x −0.56x

TTM YoY · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

Cash Flow

With safe leverage noted above, cash flow below shows the self-funding capacity. Operating cash flow reached 567.1bn in 2023, against investing cash flow of -583.9bn.

Post-investment cash flow was negative +16.8bn. Financing cash flow was positive +150.5bn.

CFO / net income was 1.09x.

After spending +1,082.8bn on fixed-asset investment, the business generated trailing free cash flow of −673.0bn.

Cash Conversion

TTM Cash Conversion · 2023Q4 -> 2025Q3

CFO TTM 409.7bn −125.5bn
Cash Capex 1,082.8bn +243.8bn
FCF TTM −673.0bn −369.3bn

Investment Takeaway

The business is heading the right way, but the current picture is still at partial confirmation — not yet a fully clean case. The positive points have clearly improved, showing the operating base is better than before. The brighter spot is earnings conversion is confirmed, with CFO/NI at 1.09x. The main risk still sits in self-funded cash generation remains weak.

Improvement: earnings conversion looks more confirmed, with CFO / net income at 1.09x.

Key risk: self-funded cash generation remains weak, with trailing-12M FCF still at 673.0bn.

Statement Data

Item 2023 2022 2021 2020
Net Revenue
7,341.8 7,663.6 5,846.1 4,925.4
Cost of Goods Sold
5,967.2 6,222.8 0.0 0.0
Gross Profit
1,374.6 1,440.8 1,035.9 926.4
Financial Expenses
102.4 125.8 -69.7 -79.1
Selling Expenses
490.8 566.4 -410.8 -381.6
General and Administrative Expenses
485.6 478.3 -299.7 -301.0
Operating Profit
455.9 401.3 367.4 277.6
Profit Before Tax
461.2 402.2 370.8 283.5
Net Income
401.9 355.1 313.0 236.7
Profit Attributable to Parent
336.5 310.5 236.4 170.7
Earnings per Share
1,511.00 2,041.00 2,142.00 1,454.00

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